{"id":496,"date":"2016-05-11T17:20:52","date_gmt":"2016-05-11T23:20:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/?page_id=496"},"modified":"2017-08-14T10:29:15","modified_gmt":"2017-08-14T16:29:15","slug":"sp-3-7","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/math\/7th-grade\/sp-3-7\/","title":{"rendered":"SP.3.7.a"},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n

Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy.<\/h3>\n

a.\u00a0 Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events. For example, if a student is selected at random from a class, find the probability that Jane will be selected and the probability that a girl will be selected.<\/em><\/h3>\n

[\/vc_column_text][vc_single_image image=”2664″ img_size=”full”][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row toggle_enable=”true” toggle_stretch=”true” toggle_font_preset=”default” toggle_font_color=”#333333″ toggle_font_size=”24″ toggle_font_line_height=”2″ toggle_font_transform=”capitalize” toggle_font_align=”left” toggle_title=”Formative Assessments” toggle_background_color=”#8dc53e” toggle_border_css=”border-color:#333333;border-style:solid;” toggle_margin_divider=”true” toggle_margin_css=”margin-bottom:5px;” toggle_icon=”fa fa-file-text” toggle_icon_position=”button-left” toggle_icon_border_css=”border-width:0px;” toggle_icon_padding_css=”padding:5px;” toggle_icon_margin_css=”margin:5px;” hover_toggle_font_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_font_size=”24″ hover_toggle_font_align=”left” hover_toggle_title=”Formative Assessments” hover_toggle_icon=”fa fa-file-text” hover_toggle_icon_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_icon_position=”button-left”][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Assessment
CPALMS: Students are asked to determine the probability of a chance event and explain possible causes for the difference between the probability and observed frequencies.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1491851137012{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Errand Runner[\/vc_column_text]
\"Assessment
CPALMS: Students are given a scenario and asked to determine the probability of two different events.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1491851175177{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Technical Difficulties[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Assessment
CPALMS: Students are asked to determine probabilities based on observed outcomes and to determine if the outcomes appear to be equally likely.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1491851150042{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Marble Probability[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Assessment
CPALMS: Students are asked to determine probabilities based on observed outcomes and to determine if the outcomes appear to be equally likely.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1491851160359{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Number Cube[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row toggle_enable=”true” toggle_stretch=”true” toggle_font_preset=”default” toggle_font_color=”#333333″ toggle_font_size=”24″ toggle_font_line_height=”2″ toggle_font_transform=”capitalize” toggle_font_align=”left” toggle_title=”Virtual\/Hands-on Manipulatives” toggle_background_color=”#8dc53e” toggle_border_divider=”true” toggle_border_css=”border-top:0px;border-right:0px;border-bottom:0px;border-left:0px;border-color:#333333;border-style:solid;” toggle_padding_divider=”true” toggle_margin_divider=”true” toggle_margin_css=”margin-top:0px;margin-right:0px;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left:0px;” toggle_icon=”mi mi-pan_tool” toggle_icon_color=”#333333″ toggle_icon_position=”button-left” toggle_icon_border_divider=”true” toggle_icon_border_css=”border-top:0px;border-right:0px;border-bottom:0px;border-left:0px;” toggle_icon_padding_divider=”true” toggle_icon_padding_css=”padding-top:5px;padding-right:5px;padding-bottom:5px;padding-left:5px;” toggle_icon_margin_divider=”true” toggle_icon_margin_css=”margin-top:5px;margin-right:5px;margin-bottom:5px;margin-left:5px;” hover_toggle_font_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_font_size=”24″ hover_toggle_font_align=”left” hover_toggle_title=”Virtual\/Hands-on Manipulatives” hover_toggle_border_divider=”true” hover_toggle_border_css=”border-top:0px;border-right:0px;border-bottom:0px;border-left:0px;” hover_toggle_icon=”mi mi-pan_tool” hover_toggle_icon_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_icon_position=”button-left” hover_toggle_icon_border_divider=”true” hover_toggle_icon_border_css=”border-top:0px;border-right:0px;border-bottom:0px;border-left:0px;”][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Virtual
CPALMS: The student is able to simulate placing marbles into a bag and finding the probability of pulling out certain combinations of marbles. This allows exploration of probabilities of multiple events as well as probability with and without replacement. <\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1496683454449{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Interactive Marbles[\/vc_column_text]
\"Virtual
CPALMS: Students adjust how many sections there are on a fair spinner then run simulated trials as a way to develop concepts of probability. They can explore the topics of experimental and theoretical probability by seeing them displayed side by side.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1496683494053{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Spinner[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Virtual
CPALMS: Through a game format, the student will explore the probability that a ball will land on each of the numbers and discover that more accurate results come from repeated testing.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1496683466452{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Plinko Probability[\/vc_column_text]
\"Virtual
CPALMS: This virtual manipulative can be used demonstrate random probability and to teach about chance and random choices. Use this free, fully customizable, online spinner to create probability scenarios involving numerous choices.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1496683506301{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Spinners[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Virtual
CPALMS: Students explore probability topics by modeling coin tossing, free throwing shooting, and manufacturing defects with this virtual manipulative.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1496683483534{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]Probability Models[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row toggle_enable=”true” toggle_stretch=”true” toggle_font_preset=”default” toggle_font_color=”#333333″ toggle_font_size=”24″ toggle_font_line_height=”1.8″ toggle_font_transform=”capitalize” toggle_font_align=”left” toggle_title=”Assessment Questions” toggle_background_color=”#8dc53e” toggle_border_css=”border-color:#333333;border-style:solid;” toggle_padding_divider=”true” toggle_margin_divider=”true” toggle_margin_css=”margin-bottom:5px;” toggle_icon=”fa fa-question” toggle_icon_color=”#333333″ toggle_icon_position=”button-left” toggle_icon_padding_css=”padding:5px;” toggle_icon_margin_css=”margin:5px;” hover_toggle_font_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_font_size=”24″ hover_toggle_font_align=”left” hover_toggle_title=”Assessment Questions” hover_toggle_icon=”fa fa-question” hover_toggle_icon_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_icon_position=”button-left”][vc_column width=”1\/3″]
\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471637972056{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Equation Editor 1<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471638010994{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Equation Editor 6<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471638042938{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Multi-Select 3<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471637982808{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Equation Editor 4<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471638020734{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Multiple Choice<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471638053958{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Multi-Select 8<\/strong><\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471637997544{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Equation Editor 5<\/strong><\/h5>\n

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\"Assessments
Click on this text to download this document.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1471638030956{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Multi-Select 2<\/strong><\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row toggle_enable=”true” toggle_stretch=”true” toggle_font_preset=”default” toggle_font_color=”#333333″ toggle_font_size=”24″ toggle_font_line_height=”1.8″ toggle_font_transform=”capitalize” toggle_font_align=”left” toggle_title=”Videos of Expert Instruction” toggle_background_color=”#8dc53e” toggle_border_css=”border-color:#333333;border-style:solid;” toggle_padding_divider=”true” toggle_margin_divider=”true” toggle_margin_css=”margin-bottom:5px;” toggle_icon=”fa fa-video-camera” toggle_icon_color=”#333333″ toggle_icon_position=”button-left” toggle_icon_padding_css=”padding:5px;” toggle_icon_margin_css=”margin:5px;” hover_toggle_font_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_font_size=”24″ hover_toggle_font_align=”left” hover_toggle_title=”Videos of Expert Instruction” hover_toggle_icon=”fa fa-video-camera” hover_toggle_icon_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_icon_position=”button-left”][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Decorative
This 8-minute video provides an introduction to the concept of probability through the example of flipping a coin and rolling a die.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1499701204400{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Probability Explained<\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Decorative
Should I keep my choice or switch? Learn more about the origins and probability behind the Monty Hall door picking dilemma and how Game Theory and strategy effect the probability.<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1499701214282{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
Let’s Make a Math Deal<\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Decorative
What was the first question that started probability theory?<\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1499701270985{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]<\/p>\n
History of Probability and the Problem of Points<\/h5>\n

[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row toggle_enable=”true” toggle_stretch=”true” toggle_font_preset=”default” toggle_font_color=”#333333″ toggle_font_size=”24″ toggle_font_line_height=”1.8″ toggle_font_transform=”capitalize” toggle_font_align=”left” toggle_title=”Hook\/Performance Tasks” toggle_background_color=”#8dc53e” toggle_border_css=”border-color:#333333;border-style:solid;” toggle_padding_divider=”true” toggle_margin_divider=”true” toggle_margin_css=”margin-bottom:5px;” toggle_icon=”fa fa-leanpub” toggle_icon_color=”#333333″ toggle_icon_position=”button-left” toggle_icon_padding_css=”padding:5px;” toggle_icon_margin_css=”margin:5px;” hover_toggle_font_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_font_size=”24″ hover_toggle_font_align=”left” hover_toggle_title=”Hook\/Performance Tasks” hover_toggle_icon=”fa fa-leanpub” hover_toggle_icon_color=”#ffffff” hover_toggle_icon_position=”button-left”][vc_column width=”1\/3″]

\"Achievement
Illustrative Mathematics: This task uses student generated data to assess standard 7.SP.7. It could also be extended to address Standard 7.SP.1 by adding a small or whole class discussion of whether the class could be considered as a representative sample of all students at your school. <\/i><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>[vc_column_text css=”.vc_custom_1492805627649{margin-top: 0px !important;border-top-width: 0px !important;padding-top: 0px !important;padding-left: 10px !important;background-color: #8dc53e !important;}”]How Many Buttons?[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″][\/vc_column][vc_column width=”1\/3″][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text] Develop a probability model and use it to find probabilities of events. Compare probabilities from a model to observed frequencies; if the agreement is not good, explain possible sources of the discrepancy. a.\u00a0 Develop a uniform probability model by assigning equal probability to all outcomes, and use the model to determine probabilities of events.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"parent":107,"menu_order":29,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/496"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=496"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/496\/revisions"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/107"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/srcturnkey.com\/teachers\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=496"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}